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False accusations?
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Miss Jazzabelle
Miss Jazzabelle

May-7-2005 22:24

Who do I talk to if I believe I solved the case right according to all the clues but it said I falsely accused? All the clues pointed to certain people yet I was told I was wrong. This included one that said they knew who the murderer was but said they had no reason to suspect the "real" murderer.
Any help would be great, thanks in advance.

Miss Jazzabelle

Replies

Sir Kittithaj
Sir Kittithaj

May-8-2005 02:29

There are two types of evidences:

Physical evidences are those you find in the crime scene. Only ONE of them point to the real killer. The more evidence found, the more chance you'll get a false evidence.

Witness evidence are people who suspect other people to be the killer. There are 3 witness evidence in every case but only 2 are right. So if only one people suspect someone there might be a 1/3 chance that he's wrong. It is always a good idea to find 2 witnesses that point to the same people, if possible.

The most important thing is the ALIBI. The real killer will always have false or no alibi. If any physical or witness evidence points to a suspect with no valid alibi, congratulations, you've got a killer.

The most problems, however, come when you can't check someone's alibi. By either he clammed up or the person he was referring to clammed up. In such case, if you don't have 2 suspects pointing to the same suspect, you have to take chances, or quit.

Sir Kittithaj
Sir Kittithaj

May-8-2005 03:03

I have also accused a wrong suspect just today. I had one female suspect who clammed up when I asked for her alibi. There was a threatening letter that pointed at her. One person also suspected her. However, no other people suspected her when I asked, and some clammed up.

There was another male suspect. He also clammed up when I asked for his alibi. There was a bloody footprint that pointed at him. However, almost all people clammed up at that point and didn't want to accuse him.

There were 3 physical evidence in that case. Another one was another footprint which referred to no suspect.

So, there was this female suspect that had one physical evidence and one witness evidence. There was only 2/9 chance that those evidences might be wrong. (2/3x1/3) However, most people (except for those who clammed) didn't suspect her.

Another man had only one physical evidence. The chance that the evidence might be wrong was 3/9 (or 1/3). No witness evidence since most of them clammed up already.

The odds was in the woman's favour (or you could also say, against her.) There was less chance of her to be the wrong suspect. However, my gut feeling told me she was innocent.

I accused the woman, based on the odds calculated logically.

I was wrong.

She had an alibi, the barber, but she didn't told me that.

Combined with an earlier false accusation I made at the beginning of my career, I had to pay the shady guy about $6,000 for that.

I should remember the Murphy's Law "If anything has even a slightest chance to go wrong, it will"

Next time I'll go with my gut feeling.

Dogberta
Dogberta
Nomad

May-8-2005 03:43

Or you can take the more conservative route, that if you have to guess, its better to quit.

cfm
cfm
Nomad

May-8-2005 07:44

Keep in mind that....

Guilty = 1PE + Fake or "none of your business alibi"

Guilty = 1WE + Fake of "none of your business alibi"

Guilty = 2 WE

(PE = Physical Evidence WE = Witness Evidence)

If you do not have one of the above, the best you can do is an educated guess, which leaves you open to the possibility of a False Accusation....

(note: 1PE +1 WE = A GUESS not guilty)

Dark Raven
Dark Raven
Trusted Informer

May-8-2005 09:56

cfm, just to warn you that the last one, 2 EW, doesn't mean guilty. I had two cases already where I had 2 EW and the evidence pointed differently. The killer was not the one where the witnesses pointed. FYI.

Dark Raven.

MarcusAndrew
MarcusAndrew

May-8-2005 10:24

Really!? I've never had a case that does that. In my experience, any suspect that has two witness evidence has always turned out to be the murderer!

cfm
cfm
Nomad

May-8-2005 10:33

*sigh*

There has been contention over this issue before...

*pulls up a chair and begins digging through the newbie thread, searching, page by page, for Ben's last comments on the matter some months ago*

MarcusAndrew
MarcusAndrew

May-8-2005 11:42

hehe - good luck with that cfm!


cfm
cfm
Nomad

May-8-2005 19:52

It's here somewhere...I know it is...

*collapses on the pile of papers before her*


jstkdn
jstkdn
Well-Connected

May-9-2005 03:09

Moving this to newbies.

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