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The Resistance: Order of Socrates Restores Order
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nicnic
nicnic
Battered Shoe

Jun-18-2012 11:08

Once again, turmoil is brewing in the underground crime world of New York. The city is slowly being taken over by La Cosa Nostra, the New York underground mafia. They are recruiting members at record numbers and they can be seen in every night club and bar scaring away customers. And now Joseph Hollis, the High Philosopher of the Order of Socrates, and mayor of New York, has learned of a secret plan by his rival faction, La Cosa Nostra, to go on a crime spree and make off with money, valuables, and ultimate control of various establishments in New York.

Mr. Hollis, being not only concerned with the livelihoods of the patrons of his city, but also with his rival faction gaining too much power, has decided to put together a team of trusted Order of Socrates resistance operatives to foil the plans of La Cosa Nostra. Unfortunately, there has been a lot of attrition lately, and certain people have been going to the highest bidder to offer their services as a spy working from within the Order of Socrates. Joseph is aware of this and he's put together the best possible team he can think of, but unwittingly will be inviting some spies for La Cosa Nostra to his team of operatives.

As long as the loyal Order of Socrates operatives can figure out whom amongst them is untrustworthy, their mission should be a success. But if they trust the wrong people, La Cosa Nostra will succeed and cause severe damage to the New York economy, while gaining enough power to take over the city.

Will the mayor and his team be able to restore order to New York? Or will the underground mafia, take over the city's resources? That's for you to decide in this version of The Resistance: Order of Socrates Restores Order


Replies

nicnic
nicnic
Battered Shoe

Jun-25-2012 10:58

The Resistance now leads the game 2-1. I should have posted that in my last post.

nicnic
nicnic
Battered Shoe

Jun-25-2012 11:18

MISSION 4: The Tricky Mister

Mayor Hollis was very pleased with his team for successfully saving the Church. But unfortunately, the mayor had once again learned that an attack was imminent. His sources revealed that the next target was the Tricky Mister. La Cosa Nostra already used the bar as a hangout and meeting place for their thugs, but now they wanted to ensure that they officially claimed the establishment as one of their home bases. Ran Bin-Sun, a high ranking member of the Eastern Triads, was going to be paying a visit from London, and planned on stopping by the Tricky Mister to meet with a few colleagues. La Cosa Nostra was going to assassinate him. This was meant to be an example of the power La Cosa Nostra wielded in NY, and also warn members of other factions that they were not to be showing their faces at the bar.

Mayor Hollis knew this plan needed to be thwarted. While he was at odds with the Eastern Triads himself, he also knew that one faction dominating the alcohol industry, was not good for business. The Tricky Mister was already losing profits due to patrons being scared away by the mob, and had to resort to buying their alcohol on the black market. And the Mayor was concerned that the Eastern Triads would indirectly blame him for not protecting their leaders when they came to New York. A full blown faction war could start, and that was the last thing the mayor needed.
He passed the information along to his chosen team of operatives, hoping they were able to foil this plan.

M. Lacrimosa is the leader for Mission 4.

Mission 4 will consist of FIVE team members. However, in this mission TWO SABOTAGE votes are required for the mission to fail.


nicnic
nicnic
Battered Shoe

Jun-25-2012 11:18

Mayor Hollis gave the team leader three special advantages to distribute to whom he sees fit. They are:
- KEEPING A CLOSE EYE ON YOU - Receiver of this card may look at how one team member's action on a mission after the results of the mission are in.
- KEEPING A CLOSE EYE ON YOU - Receiver of this card may look at how one team member's action on a mission after the results of the mission are in.
- NO CONFIDENCE - Receiver of this card can veto a successful vote on a mission proposal causing it to fail and forcing leadership to change.


Marc should now distribute these abilities to other team members or keep one for himself.

Marc please feel free to assign these abilities whenever you are ready.


Eden Zweig
Eden Zweig
Nomad

Jun-25-2012 11:37

Serges don't you think you left out something?

What you said is a conditional and you say you are making an assumption. You are making two actually and that event has .25 probability - I am not talking about success here, I am intending to mean the event itself.

And the rest of what you say is based on these two assumptions, one of which depends on the occurrence of the other.

That case is success anyway. We don't even need to talk about that.

What about all the other "events", speaking in probability terms cause I know of no other, those that make up the remaining .75 probability?

If we remove the 1st condition and assume it is a fact and Biggie isn't a spy, this leaves us with .50 chance, not .75 for obvious reasons.

And I don't want to state the obvious, lol.

But if Riza isn't a spy we have guaranteed success. 100% of it.



Cekuray
Cekuray
Well-Connected

Jun-25-2012 11:38

Great success! Glad about it! Now, Marc, one of these abilities should come to me I think. If you are Resistance, you will keep the cards in the family and if you are a spy, you can count on my discretion! :)) Either way, make me feel important here mate! :)

Serges
Serges
Vigilante

Jun-25-2012 11:38

I kind of want to suggest to Marc how to divvy up the cards, but it might give us more information about him if we let him make the call.

Let's see who he picks :)

Serges
Serges
Vigilante

Jun-25-2012 11:46

@Eden:

I guess I could have been more clear on my mathletics.

If Biggie is Resistance, then any team with her, you, me, and illicit is guaranteed to succeed because of the 2 spy requirement.

If Biggie is a spy, then one and only one of {M. Lacrimosa, Riza, Cekuray, Molly} is a spy. Any team with her, me, you, and illicit has a 75% chance of only having one spy (biggie) on it.

So, based on the math alone, we have an 87.5% chance of succeeding this mission having 4 of the 5 team members be Serges/Eden/Illicit/Biggie. (Assuming for this exercise that there is a 50/50 shot of Biggie being resistance)

Serges
Serges
Vigilante

Jun-25-2012 11:50

In addition, this is the part that will give the Resistance the win:

IF Serges, Eden, and Illicit are on the team for the 4th mission, and Jason and Ms. Helen are NOT on the team, we win unless the spies somehow force 5 failed proposals in a row. Here's why.

Serges/Eden/Illicit are confirmed Resistance. If the 4th mission fails, it's because the other 2 members of the team are BOTH spies. Which means we will have successfully ID'ed all 4 spies. The 5th mission team, as long as it excludes those 4 spies, is guaranteed to succeed.

I love how this is shaping up :)

Eden Zweig
Eden Zweig
Nomad

Jun-25-2012 11:53

Serges: the leader isn't Biggie.

here are the event pool:

1 ) Biggie is R

a)Biggie's not chosen into the team
b) Biggie's chosen into the team


2) Biggie is S

a) Biggie is chosen into the team
b) Biggie's not chosen into the team.

Any option is possible. All have .25 chance

given 1, then 1a and 1b have .5, given 2 then 2a and 2b each have .5. And if Marc's a spy, he can as well choose any other.

I have stated the obvious.



Eden Zweig
Eden Zweig
Nomad

Jun-25-2012 11:56

concerning your other post: the next mission's leader is Ms Helen

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