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Lt. Theo Kojak
Lt. Theo Kojak

May-2-2009 21:43

I have started incorporating the information from the Townies into my game strategy. i.e. "Do you have any information about this case?" "Yes, Luna Boderone hasn't seen or heard anything," or "Yes, Luna Boderone thinks she knows who the killer is."

I have seen a much greater success rate in solving my cases since using this information, and yet I know that the people the Townies name as thinking they know who the murderer is don't always actually finger the killer, and sometimes one of them "is" the killer.

So, I'm wondering . . . can a Townie name more than one suspect as the person they think committed the murder? Does anyone else use this information? Am I just getting lucky with my cases? Is this information really useful or is it mostly irrelevant? What do you more experienced players think?

Replies

Eudaemon
Eudaemon
Old Shoe

May-4-2009 21:52

Hi Lt. Theo, I'm open to sharing my strategy and will be more specific with my answers, hope it helps.

Firstly I think a particular Townie will only name one suspect (if they 'think they know'). What Breit meant might be that different townies will name different suspects (but only 2 of them will name the real culprit, and 1-2 others will name those with real alibis).

Yes, the information from Townies are useful, especially for harder cases. It helps me decide too to a certain extent which suspects to try and match the PEs against first as well.

Basing on probability alone, since you know there are two suspects who knows the real culprit - a suspect who doesn't know is slightly likelier to be the culprit and a suspect who does know is slightly likelier to be innocent.

But always keep in mind like you said, there's always a chance:
Townie thinks he/she knows, but only really names innocent suspect with real alibi (and could even turn out to be culprit)

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